Decision Trees
To play with the decision tree model, you can download it here.
As you adjust the scroll bar, the chance of getting caught changes. Note
that when this reaches 42 percent, you should just
take the Stick in the Eye and be done with it.
This model uses an add-in for Excel call XLTree, which ships with Dr.
Savage's book: Decision Making with Insight. For more information,
visit
www.analycorp.com